New Poll Shows Trump Gaining Ground in Texas, Cruz-Allred Senate Battle Tightens

A recent poll by Emerson College/The Hill indicates that former President Donald Trump has increased his lead in Texas. The survey, published on Wednesday, suggests that 53% of likely voters would opt for Trump if the election took place today, while 46% would select Vice President Kamala Harris. The gap between the two candidates has increased from 5.3 points on September 27 to 7.1 points on October 22.

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The poll indicates that a majority of Texans anticipate Trump will win the state in the forthcoming election, with 56% forecasting a Trump victory, whereas 43% think Harris will come out on top. The election is approaching in under two weeks.

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At the same time, the Senate race in Texas has become more competitive. The poll reveals a tight race, showing 48% of voters in favor of incumbent Republican Senator Ted Cruz, while 47% support Democratic challenger Colin Allred. Cruz has experienced a decline of one point in support, whereas Allred has seen an increase of two points since the previous poll.

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“Allred’s name recognition has improved, decreasing from 18% unfamiliarity in early September to only 10% this month,” stated Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling.

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The poll revealed that immigration is the primary concern for 32% of respondents, with the economy following at 26% and abortion access at 11%. Trump's increasing support can be attributed to changes in independent voters, who currently favor him by 2 points, along with a widening lead among male voters.

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The poll, which surveyed 815 likely voters from October 18 to October 21, carries a margin of error of 3.4 percentage points.

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