A recent poll by Emerson College/The Hill indicates that former President Donald Trump has increased his lead in Texas. The survey, published on Wednesday, suggests that 53% of likely voters would opt for Trump if the election took place today, while 46% would select Vice President Kamala Harris. The gap between the two candidates has increased from 5.3 points on September 27 to 7.1 points on October 22.
The poll indicates that a majority of Texans anticipate Trump will win the state in the forthcoming election, with 56% forecasting a Trump victory, whereas 43% think Harris will come out on top. The election is approaching in under two weeks.
At the same time, the Senate race in Texas has become more competitive. The poll reveals a tight race, showing 48% of voters in favor of incumbent Republican Senator Ted Cruz, while 47% support Democratic challenger Colin Allred. Cruz has experienced a decline of one point in support, whereas Allred has seen an increase of two points since the previous poll.
“Allred’s name recognition has improved, decreasing from 18% unfamiliarity in early September to only 10% this month,” stated Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling.
The poll revealed that immigration is the primary concern for 32% of respondents, with the economy following at 26% and abortion access at 11%. Trump's increasing support can be attributed to changes in independent voters, who currently favor him by 2 points, along with a widening lead among male voters.
The poll, which surveyed 815 likely voters from October 18 to October 21, carries a margin of error of 3.4 percentage points.
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